A Mathematical Framework for Summarizing CIA Foreign Policy and Actions

Anand Sunder

Abstract: This paper develops a novel mathematical framework to model and summarize CIA-linked foreign policy actions. Extending existing symbiotic models of intelligence?policy interaction, we introduce new mathematical functions including the Covert Action Kernel, Plausible-Deniability Operator, Blowback Functional, and Legitimacy Potential. We then define indices such as the Strategic Effectiveness Score, Blowback Risk Index, and Deniability Index, culminating in a compact Policy?Action Summary Vector ?. The framework provides a structured method to quantify deniability, blowback, legitimacy, and escalation potential, yielding insights into covert action strategy and its feedback into foreign policy.

Keywords: CIA, Foreign Policy, Covert Action, Mathematical Modeling, Symbiotic Dynamics, Blowback, Deniability, Policy Analysis

How to Cite?: Anand Sunder, "A Mathematical Framework for Summarizing CIA Foreign Policy and Actions", Volume 14 Issue 8, August 2025, International Journal of Science and Research (IJSR), Pages: 1050-1051, https://www.ijsr.net/getabstract.php?paperid=MR25821090049, DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.21275/MR25821090049